Feeds

Gartner's gurus forecast future tech spending splurge

2014 IT dollars in a line would go to the Sun and back. Twice

Bridging the IT gap between rising business demands and ageing tools

Gartner's analysts have used their highly-tuned abdominal sensing units and cerebral computing powers to forecast worldwide IT spending will rise to a whopping $3.92 trillion come 2014.

During 2012, global IT spend hit $3.62 trillion. This year, it will reach $3.78 trillion, reckon the Gartner market boffins, a rise of 4.1 per cent. 2014's total is 4.0 per cent higher still.

Those two year-on-year growth figures are small, but as 2012's spend was a mere 2.1 per cent higher than 2011's total, this is something of an improvement.

"Although the US avoided the Fiscal Cliff, the subsequent sequestration, compounded by the rise of Cyprus' debt burden, seems to have netted out any benefit, and the fragile business and consumer sentiment throughout much of the world continues," said Richard Gordon, one of Gartner's top market watchers.

"However, the new shocks are expected to be short-lived, and while they may cause some pauses in discretionary spending along the way, strategic IT initiatives will continue."

Gartner W-W IT Spend Forecast to 2014

Data source: Gartner

The overall spend is sub-divided into:

  • Data Centre Systems
  • Enterprise Software
  • Devices (PCs, tablets, mobile phones and printers)
  • IT Services
  • Telecom Services

Worldwide device spending should reach $728 billion in 2013, up 7.9 per cent on 2012's total, before rising 5.7 per cent to $758 billion in 2014, as spending slows. A growth rate chart shows the annual sector spend changes:

Gartner W-W IT Spending Forecast Growth Rates

Data source: Gartner

All the other sectors have improving growth rates, with telecoms, the largest of the sectors, reversing the decline it experienced between 2011 and 2012. World+Dog is spending more on IT services than it is on data centre systems.

Gartner research VP John Lovelock said: "The Nexus of Forces — social, mobile, cloud and information — are reshaping spending patterns across all of the IT sectors that Gartner forecasts. Consumers and businesses will continue to purchase a mix of IT products and services - nothing is going away completely.

"However, the ratio of this mix is changing dramatically, and there [will be] clear winners and losers over the next three to five years as we see more of a transition from PCs to mobile phones, from servers to storage, from licensed software to cloud, and the shift in voice and data connections from fixed to mobile."

Even so, Gartner's gurus note the outlook for 2013 for data centre systems spending is forecast to grow 3.7 per cent in 2013, down 0.7 per cent from their previous forecast. "This reduction is largely due to cuts to the near-term forecast for spending on external storage and the enterprise in the economically troubled EMEA region."

Drinkers in city centre bars across mainland Europe have been heard chanting: "Euro, Euro, down the pan we go."

Witch Doctors

Gartner consultants in ceremonial dress

The Gartner gurus have stronger growth expectations for database management systems, data integration tools and supply chain management kit, which will compensate for slower growth in the IT operations management and operating systems software areas.

Overall, then, it's a case of reasonably steady growth, with warning bells sounding over slowing growth in the devices area as tablet sales overtake desktop purchases and, almost certainly, those of notebooks too.

IBM is looking ever more prescient for getting out of PC manufacture when it did, especially given that HP and Dell are both facing problems in their PC product areas. ®

Application security programs and practises

More from The Register

next story
Stick a 4K in them: Super high-res TVs are DONE
4,000 pixels is niche now... Don't say we didn't warn you
BBC goes offline in MASSIVE COCKUP: Stephen Fry partly muzzled
Auntie tight-lipped as major outage rolls on
Philip K Dick 'Nazi alternate reality' story to be made into TV series
Amazon Studios, Ridley Scott firm to produce The Man in the High Castle
iPad? More like iFAD: We reveal why Apple fell into IBM's arms
But never fear fanbois, you're still lapping up iPhones, Macs
Amazon Reveals One Weird Trick: A Loss On Almost $20bn In Sales
Investors really hate it: Share price plunge as growth SLOWS in key AWS division
Bose says today is F*** With Dre Day: Beats sued in patent battle
Music gear giant seeks some of that sweet, sweet Apple pie
There's NOTHING on TV in Europe – American video DOMINATES
Even France's mega subsidies don't stop US content onslaught
You! Pirate! Stop pirating, or we shall admonish you politely. Repeatedly, if necessary
And we shall go about telling people you smell. No, not really
Too many IT conferences to cover? MICROSOFT to the RESCUE!
Yet more word of cuts emerges from Redmond
prev story

Whitepapers

Designing a Defense for Mobile Applications
Learn about the various considerations for defending mobile applications - from the application architecture itself to the myriad testing technologies.
Implementing global e-invoicing with guaranteed legal certainty
Explaining the role local tax compliance plays in successful supply chain management and e-business and how leading global brands are addressing this.
Top 8 considerations to enable and simplify mobility
In this whitepaper learn how to successfully add mobile capabilities simply and cost effectively.
Seven Steps to Software Security
Seven practical steps you can begin to take today to secure your applications and prevent the damages a successful cyber-attack can cause.
Boost IT visibility and business value
How building a great service catalog relieves pressure points and demonstrates the value of IT service management.