The Register® — Biting the hand that feeds IT

Feeds

Experts agree: Your next car will be smarter than you

Google's dream car? Nope. Head-up displays, parking-spot search, 'platoons', and more

Feature Forget Google's self-driving car – for a few years, at least. Today's real action in the computer-meets-car arena is in the development of advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS), as was made abundantly clear at last week's GPU Technology Conference.

"We're not going to find ourselves driving in an autonomous car tomorrow," said Ian Riches of the research and consulting firm Strategy Analytics. Instead, as self-driving capabilities begin to appear, they'll first be used for "repetitive and dull and boring" things such as parking and driving in congested traffic.

"It's the sort of thing you never see in car adverts," Riches said. "Generally it's the handsome guy driving on a mountainous, twisty road, the handsome guy phoning his gorgeous girlfriend, the stuff you see in the marketing videos. That's not what real life is like."

One such repetitive, dull, and boring real-life scenario now under investigation, he said, is the European Commission's "Safe Road Trains for the Environment" (SARTRE) project, in which cars would platoon behind a professional driver – piloting an 18-wheeler, for example – and their cars would semi-autonomously bunch up behind the truck in a tight convoy, allowing their drivers to engage in otherwise illegal activities such as texting or chatting away on their mobile phones.

Riches said that one clear advantage of SARTRE is that it would save money. "The guys behind will be saving some fuel," he said, "so that helps. But also, what do you think is cheaper? Doing this or doubling your road capacity?"

The SARTRE project: platooning behind a professional driver

Thanks to SARTRE, as C.W. McCall would say, "Mercy sakes alive, looks like we've got us a convoy!"

But before we even get to semi-autonomous cars on our highways, ADAS-enabled vehicles will provide us – and our cars – with road and traffic information, help us park, assist in lane changes, and snap us back to focus should our attention wander from the task at hand: safe driving.

The need for ADAS is especially acute in urban situations, said Audi research engineer Mario Tippelhofer. "We spend a lot of time thinking about how we can improve safety and how can we avoid accidents in urban areas," Tipplehofer said of his team at the Volkswagen Group of America Electronics Research Laboratory in Belmont, California.

"Our approach was to help the driver to be less stressed, more focused, going into those urban areas in a more relaxed manner," he said. "We're trying to paint a vision of what urban mobility can look like for our Audi customers in the near future.

The areas of study that his research group is investigating include prediction of road conditions and congestion, intuitive interfaces for the presentation of information, and other advanced assistance systems.

There's also the need for ADAS system to be personalized for each individual driver. "Right now," he said, "your car is mostly generic, for a generic driver. But if this car would be really tailored to your needs, it would know about your needs, it could assist you in a much better way."

Part of what's needed in automotive interfaces, Tippelhofer said, is the ability to provide positive suggestions, not merely negative notifications that something has or is about to go wrong. "Right now you have a lot of blinking lights, a lot of warnings in your instrument cluster and infotainment system. But what we really need instead of warning us is helping us to make the right decisions and to stay safe."

Audi's ADAS takes a lot of information from the cloud: traffic status, real-time parking data from sensor-equipped smart meters and parking lots, and weather information, for example. "But we're not only looking at what's happening around us," he said, "we're also looking inside the vehicle."

This personalization includes not only what the driver is doing and focused on in real time, but also what his driving patterns and history are. Adding the cloud-based info to the driver-personalization info, he said, will enable Audi to develop applications to help a driver navigate in what Tippelhofer calls "the urban megacity of the future."

One of those applications, he said, will combine both real-time and predictive parking advice for on-street and off-street parking that will direct a driver to open spots and obviate the need for the all-too-familiar urban "let's go around the block one more time" parking-spot search.

Parking-spot sensors have the obvious advantage of telling an urban parking agency when a meter has timed out, so that they can send a meter maid to that spot to write a ticket, Tippelhofer said, "But as a positive effect they also make that information available to companies like us so that we can see and direct a driver where there is an open parking spot."

Audi automotive-assistance distance and object sensors

Audi's sensors include radar, lidar, camera, and adaptive cruise-control (click to enlarge; source: Audi)

Predictive algorithms will also advise as to whether that parking spot will still be available when the driver reaches it, and drop it from the list of available spaces if it's likely to have been filled. "For example," he said, "I would leave from Palo Alto, going to San Francisco" – a 35-mile drive – "and as you can imagine, the parking-spot situation is going to change a lot by the time I actually get to the city."

In addition, the more Audi's ADAS learns about the car's driver, the more it can narrow its selection of suggested parking spots based on the driver's history of choosing spots close to or further away from his or her final destination, and factor in the price of the parking and the driver's choice of on-street or off-street parking.

Predictive modeling will also be used to learn a driver's customary routes to a frequent destination, predict traffic congestion on that route at a specific time or when a traffic-causing event is about to take place, and – without the driver firing up his or her navigation system – reroute the driver when the congestion is bad enough that avoiding it would be more efficient than driving through it, even if the distance traveled might be longer.

"For example, Tippelhofer said, "if you're going to San Francisco and there's a ball game or a 49ers game, there's going to be a big traffic jam around that particular destination. That is known. So we can look into schedules of social events that might affect the traffic flow, and based on our simulations make predictions as to what is most likely the best route for your specific destination."

Navigation clues will also be refined so that they won't merely be limited to such information as street names and distances. Instead, he said, Audi's ADAS will give visual-clue directions such as "turn left at the Starbucks" or "your destination is two blocks past the red church on the right."

In addition, multiple in-car cameras will keep an eye on the driver, checking out what he or she is focused on, how long the driver is looking away from the road – at, say, the car's infotainment system and the like – and direct the driver's attention back to the road when necessary.

"This needs to be done in a positive human-machine interface," Tippelhofer said, "because we don't want to distract the driver even more if we detect that he's not paying attention."

Not only would the system attempt to gently and non-intrusively suggest to the driver that it might be a good idea to get their eyes back on the road, but it could also kick in an adaptive cruise-control (ACC) system, which would not allow the driver to inadvertently accelerate due to lack of attention, and would keep a safe distance from the car in front.

Another aspect of driver assistance that the Audi group is investigating is how to help drivers merge into traffic. "Merging onto urban freeways is a very stressful situation," Tippelhofer said, "because there's a very short amount of time to make decisions, and they have to be the right ones."

To help this stressful process, Audi has equipped its test vehicles with multiple radar and lidar (light detection and ranging) sensors, along with cameras and ACC sensors. "We fuse all this information into a recommendation to the driver, what is the best possible way for you to merge into that spot that is opening up," he said.

This merge-recommendation system can also be personalized, since some drivers are willing and able to merge into a tighter spot than others. Audi's ADAS will learn your preferences and adapt accordingly.

Next page: Heads up!

Just an (fun) impression...

Aaah, here we go... Gotta go visit a customer in Amsterdam, it'll be a one hour or so drive from Wageningen and with my new smart car I can work out some paperwork along the way. HA, those suckers in public transportation with their big brother chipcard.... (in Holland you need a chipcard for this; thing is that to get access to reductions and such you need to register with $company and give them access to your bank account so that they charge you automagically. Many people like myself call that big brother because they can very easily track you).

And so we're on our way, the car drives me through Wageningen and Ede flawlessly. I do get the occasional weird looks when people see me read the newspaper right behind the wheel while the light turns green but they're just jealous. Suckers! :-)

Soon we're on the highway to Amsterdam and the speed also increases. Due to traffic the car remains in the right lane (we drive on the right side of the road, no pun intended) and everything is going just fine.

Until all of a sudden: "Warning, gas station about in 2 km, please get ready for a quick stop to pick up required fuel". What?! I filled her up only yesterday, what's this for nonsense? I check my dashboard and there it is; 80% full. That is WAY then enough to make it to Amsterdam and back, so that we can get some fuel in Germany later on (much cheaper over there). Aah, must be a glitch...

So we continue and what do you know; "Warning, gas station in 1 km, please get ready for a fuel stop!". No, what the heck is this for nonsense. I hit the dashboard meter and it remains on 80% full.

"Warning, taking exit in 500m to refuel". Ok, screw this. I throw my paperwork on the passenger seat, click the override button and take the wheel myself. "Override engaged, have a good drive" the automated voice tells me. Finally we're getting somewhere, I increase speed and go over to the left lane. Time to get moving!

Then, only 10 minutes later, "Warning, fuel tanks nearly empty. Enforcing fuel stop in 2km", the autovoice goes again. What?!

And what do you know; 8 minutes later: "Warning, overriding car control for emergency fuelstop. Please do not be alarmed", and all of a sudden I can no longer steer the car myself. It takes back on the throttle, returns to the right lane and obviously gets ready to stop at a gas station with a nearly full fuel tank.

What the hell ?!

As expected; there we are 2 minutes later... "Warning, emergency fuel stop. Please get out and replenish fuel reserves".

But but but.... "You're completely filled up, you moron!" I cry out, knowing very well that this car doesn't have voice dictation or such. "Fine!...", I get out completely pissed off, and refuel the car for a meager E 5,-.

When paying the man behind the desk points me to a sign: "Minimum fuel consumption 10liter". Great! So now I gotta pay for fuel I couldn't even buy.

Quite agitated I get back in the car, fire her up and get ready to drive away. "Warning, fuel reserves nearly depleted, getting ready for emergency stop on parking lot!". WHAT?!

I pick up my phone and call my dealer. What the heck is going on here, this is just way stupid. Right, the mechanic will be here in one hour or so, great. Better cancel that appointment, because there's NO way I'll be able to make it this way.

And finally he arrives, takes place behind the week, starts the car... "Ah yes, I see what's going on. No need to worry sir, it seems the battery is nearly dead. This car has a small software bug where it sometimes doesn't detect the fuel source as expected; so it mistook your battery for your fuel tank".

"So what do I do now? I need to be in Amsterdam today"... But the mechanic told me not to worry; he would simply grab an emergency firmware update from the company, install it and all should be well.

And what do you know? 20 minutes later I'm finally back on the road, behind the wheel and the morning paper again. MUCH better...

"Warning, screenwiper water reserves nearly empty. Getting ready to stop to replenish water at next fuel station". What?!

Now quite annoyed I call the car company again demanding to speak with that same mechanic who helped me out. "Yeah well, we couldn't really fix the firmware just yet so we simply switched two other sources. Water reserves you say? Let me look it up... Ah yes, here it is: that would now mean that your oil reserves are a bit low". "No they're not, I filled those only last week", I protest.

"Yes, but you now forget to take tank capacity into account. While the oil tank maybe full enough, if you take the same storage percentage, apply that on your much smaller water tank then it would be a lot emptier".

That doesn't make any sense to me, but ok.. I'll just fill both tanks up and then I can finally be on my way again. What a lousy day this is turning out to be.

As soon as we stop at the gas station I get right to work; just to make sure I fill both the water and oil reserves, and to rule out anything else also take care of tire pressure.

AND we're on our way again... "Warning, oil tanks filled beyond maximum capacity. Risk of fire in engine imminent, making emergency stop!".

WHAT?!

Damn this shit, this is almost as bad as the time Windows told me that I didn't have enough free space on my drive to delete some of my files!

"There's no need to become insulting sir", my car suddenly responds...

(sorry; start of the day, I feel energetic, ready to DO stuff so before I knew I had this all written up. Sorry for possible typo's, not gonna reread just yet).

17
0

Do not want, and in fact this kind of thing is a fucking 'orrible idea.

If you can't fucking pay enough attention to drive safely, get the fuck off the road.

EOF

27
14
Anonymous Coward

Re: Do not want, and in fact this kind of thing is a fucking 'orrible idea.

So @Jake, you have never had an accident, even a fender bender? Never once come close to almost hitting another car? Never knocked a sidewalk? Never had any loss of traction on any road surface?

Because if you ever have then you nee to "get the fuck off the road".

You also enjoy sitting in queues of traffic for hours keeping alert just to move forward 10 foot? Enjoy a long commute when you have a load of documents to review for the next meeting?

Finally, do you also believe that every road user you might encounter during the day is so safe they aren't going to cause yourself or your family harm and therefore this wouldn't be an advantage?

I work in motorsport and have raced, I love driving and rallying. However I'm not so blinkered to not be able to see massive advantages in these 'driver aids'. The same way as I wouldn't have air-con, a radio, electric windows etc in my car if I wanted the most performance and best driving experience, but I do have them, go figure.

11
2

Re: Do not want, and in fact this kind of thing is a fucking 'orrible idea.

Speaking as someone with a professional interest in the optimisation and rationalisation of traffic flow and performance, bring it on. Humans are pretty terrible at operating machinery, all things considered.

I'd be quite happy to drive a car that can drive itself in built-up areas, where most driving stress occurs, but which you can take control of, particularly when you're on an interesting road out in the mountains for example.

Self-driving cars can give significant improvements in congestion and safety, especially pedestrian safety, in built-up areas. Being forced into autonomous mode raises a few philosophical issues, but there are very good reasons to do it in areas such as city centres. I do worry about "big brother" getting mixed up in the equation though.

11
2
Anonymous Coward

Re: Do not want, and in fact this kind of thing is a fucking 'orrible idea.

Some car clocks are smarter than some drivers

8
0

More from The Register

Fanbois vs fandroids: Punters display 'tribal loyalty'
Buying a new mobe? You'll stick with the same maker - survey
iPhone 5 totters at the top as Samsung thrusts up UK mobe chart
But older Apples are still holding their own
Google to Glass devs: 'Duh! Go ahead, hack your headset'
'We intentionally left the device unlocked'
Japan's naughty nurses scam free meals with mobile games
Hungry women trick unsuspecting otaku into paying for grub
 breaking news
Turn off the mic: Nokia gets injunction on 'key' HTC One component
Dutch court stops Taiwanese firm from using microphones
Next Xbox to be called ‘Xbox Infinity’... er... ‘Xbox’
We don’t know. Maybe Microsoft doesn’t (yet) either
Sord drawn: The story of the M5 micro
The 1983 Japanese home computer that tried to cut it in the UK
Pirates scoff at games dev sim's in-game piracy lesson
Dev seeds cracked version of 'Game Dev Tycoon', watches as Pirates run rampant
Nudge nudge, wink wink interface may drive Google Glass
Two-finger salutes also come in handy, as may patent lawyers
Black-eyed Pies reel from BeagleBoard's $45 Linux micro blow
Gigahertz-class pocket-sized ARM Ubuntu rig, anyone?