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Intel's chief chipman: '22nm better than expected, 14nm on track'

'After 14nm? My lips are sealed'

IDF 2012 The low-voltage performance of Intel's 22-nanometer chip-baking process turned out better that the company had predicted, and the development of next year's 14-nanometer process technology is proceeding swimmingly, thankyouverymuch.

So said Chipzilla's head of process technology, Mark Bohr, speaking at a tech session during the company's Intel Developer Forum in San Francisco on Wednesday.

And he should know. Bohr is a senior fellow in Intel's Technology and Manufacturing Group, and the director of the company's process architecture and integration efforts. In simple terms, he creates the stuff that chips are made of.

He was also the unfortunate star of Mark Bohr Gets Small, an Intel-created video that attempts to explain the tri-gate transistor technology that debuted in Intel's 22nm "Sandy Bridge" chips. That technology, Bohr told his IDF audience, "looks like it's going to be extendable to a couple more generations, as well."

It also turned out better than expected. Armed with an array of charts and graphs, Bohr explained how the tri-gate transistors' current leakage and sub-threshold slope – essentially the voltage rise before a transistor turns on – were more efficient than Intel had predicted they would be.

"What we're running in production is better than what we announced in May of last year," he said. That's A Good Thing™ — both contribute to a processor's low-voltage performance by allowing transistors (all else being equal) to perform better and use less power.

Bohr also discussed the progress of Intel's next process shrink. "The 14-nanometer technology is in its full development phase," he said, "and it's on track for production readiness around the end of next year."

Not that the shrink is going to be an easy one. The transistor pitch – essentially the distance between two transistors – in the 22nm tri-gate technology is 80nm, which is the smallest pitch that can be produced using single-pattern lithography, Bohr says.

"The next generation, 14," he said, "we're going to have to convert to double patterning to get tighter pitches." Double patterning – as might be obvious – requires an extra step in the lithography process. An extra step – equally obvious – adds extra cost.

Intel process-technology 'Innovation Enabled Technology Pipeline'

'I have seen the future, and it's ... well ... not terribly clear yet' (click to enlarge)

But that won't make 14nm chips more expensive, Bohr assures us. "Although wafer cost is going up, it's still being offset by the improved density," he said. "At least for Intel, our cost per transistor continues to go down with each generation on a very steady trend, from 32 nanometers to 22 nanometers to 14 nanometers."

Cost is not the only challenge in moving down to 14nm, Bohr said. For one thing, there's the problem of creating the interconnects in a chip so dense with transistors. "Well, you've got skinnier wires," he said, "and can you get copper stuffed into that shallow trench with good reliability, good performance? We have that challenge."

But the interconnect challenge is still on track, he insists. "We're doing it," he said. "I'm confident. I know that we can do this on 14."

But what about beyond 14nm? Well, Intel's research group is exploring a host of technologies to take Moore's Law down to 10, seven, and even five nanometers. On one of his presentation slides, Bohr listed some of the technologies under study, including III-V and 3D transistors, graphene, extreme ultraviolet lithography, dense memory, materials synthesis, thinner interconnects, photonics, and nanowires.

When asked why carbon nanotubes weren't included that laundry list, since they had been on a similar slide last year, Bohr said, "We like to put the latest fads on that slide, so graphene's on that slide – that's the latest fad."

He also made it clear that a list was all he was prepared to provide. "I always get questions of 'Which ones are the promising ones?', and you can't pay me enough money to answer that question." ®

Bootnote

Slide from IDF showing defect density improvement trends for 32nm and 22nm manufacturing processes

'OMG, I forgot the numbers!' (click to enlarge)

During his presentation, Bohr displayed a slide (right) that showed the similar slopes of defect-density improvements of 32nm and 22nm manufacturing processes, but which omitted any specific – and possibly incriminating – numbers on the defect-density y-axis. When asked if his omission of the numbers was intentional, he responded in mock shock: "Was it a mistake that I left the numbers out? Yes! Oh my goodness, how could I have done that? But, gee, time is up, so ... "

Re: Gullible hacks...

It's been well demonstrated it was the poor choice in thermal compound under the heat spreader that made Ivy Bridge "run hot." Although, I must say that my IB i7 OCed to a modest 4.4Ghz has a 53.3*C (128*F) package temp, 37.2*C (99*F) core temp (according to AIDA64). On air (and no, not the turbine/jet engine kind). The cores don't generate much heat comparatively, it just gets bottle-necked getting through to the heat-spreader.

Oh, and 5% is actually closer to "3 to 15%" depending on your application.

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Re: Gullible hacks...

or maybe since intel is not living up to the performance gains YOU demand for every die shrinkage they pioneer, perhaps YOU can come up with the solution at home? Personally I am not aware of a terrible core i7 (4 years in the making) But please, enlighten me, I'm awaiting your blueprints. While you are at it, plot me the course for the next interstellar science laboratory satellite.

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Raising cores above app MPL...

As the number of cores per socket climb above 16, there are a few issues:

1) These things get more-and-more like SPARC

2) Revenues for core-count software climbs (SQL, etc.)

3) Customers get pushed to enterprise-level Windows, SQL, etc

4) Cache per core drops

If you are not-yet getting above your MPL (multiprogramming max level), then this is great. If not, then you need to be wary of the above four issues with high-core sockets.

INTC need to get their cache-per-core numbers up for databases OR they need to get their single-path GHz up. IBM is staking out the higher-profit markets with POWER7+ with both of these technologies.

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Re: Gullible hacks...

Because adding cores is only useful if you are running multi-threaded applications (many that you would think to use for casually judging performance aren't) or seriously multi-tasking.

Beyond 2 cores is really only useful to a group that while large in absolutely terms, is relatively quite small.

It's just the continuation of the GHz wars at some level.

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Re: Gullible hacks...

Why does Intel keep adding cores when the performance increase is so minor, like 5%? Any more than 8 cores is utterly pointless without a complete design review of the bottlenecks in the Intel architecture.

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