Feeds

Tim Cook's post-PC iPad domination dream crushed by reality

Gartner reckons 400 million desktops will shift in 2013

The Essential Guide to IT Transformation

Despite Tim Cook's declaration that we live in a post-PC world as he presented the new iPad to the world, analysts at Gartner forecast that demand for PCs will accelerate in the next two years.

Apple CEO Cook dreams of a world in which fondleslabs not only outsell PCs but render them irrelevant. These stats suggest otherwise.

Gartner Research Director Ranjit Atwal predicts that 368 million PC units will be sold in 2012, an increase of 4.4 per cent from 2011. By his calculations, the market will grow to 400 million units in 2013.

Apple flogged 40.57 million iPads in the year ending 31 December 2011, according to its quarterly reports. The slabs have eaten into the PC market, Cook boasted last night and claimed Apple sold more iPads in the last three months of 2011 than any PC manufacturer sold of its computers.

Meanwhile the big driver for PC sales will be demand from the developing world, Atwal said: "Emerging markets are key to driving worldwide PC growth in both the short and long-term." And that's growing very quickly.

Our expectation is that 2012 and then 2013 onwards will be supported by growth in emerging markets as their share increases from just over 50 percent in 2011 to nearly 70 percent in 2016. Emerging markets have very low PC penetration and even with the availability of other devices we still expect a steady uptake of PCs.

Fondleslab-pushing Apple execs aside, other PC doomsayers include Ray Ozzie, inventor of Lotus Notes and the guy chosen by Bill Gates to lead innovation in Microsoft – which just released its tablet-friendly Windows 8 preview. He seemed to be singing off the same hymn sheet as Cook, telling a Geekwire conference yesterday:

People argue about "are we in a post-PC world?" Why are we arguing? Of course we are in a post-PC world. That doesn't mean the PC dies, that just means that the scenarios that we use them in, we stop referring to them as PCs, we refer to them as other things.

But whatever we call them looks like several hundred million of them will be sold in the next two years. ®

Build a business case: developing custom apps

More from The Register

next story
4K video on terrestrial TV? Not if the WRC shares frequencies to mobiles
Have your say with Ofcom now, before Freeview becomes Feeview
iPad? More like iFAD: We reveal why Apple fell into IBM's arms
But never fear fanbois, you're still lapping up iPhones, Macs
You didn't get the MeMO? Asus Pad 7 Android tab is ... not bad
Really, er, stands out among cheapie 7-inchers
Apple winks at parents: C'mon, get your kid a tweaked Macbook Pro
Cheapest models given new processors, more RAM
YES, iPhones ARE getting slower with each new release of iOS
Old hardware doesn't get any faster with new software
Leaked Windows Phone 8.1 Update specs tease details of Nokia's next mobes
New screen sizes, dual SIMs, voice over LTE, and more
Nintend-OH NO! Sorry, Mario – your profits are in another castle
Red-hatted mascot, red-colored logo, red-stained finance books
prev story

Whitepapers

Implementing global e-invoicing with guaranteed legal certainty
Explaining the role local tax compliance plays in successful supply chain management and e-business and how leading global brands are addressing this.
Boost IT visibility and business value
How building a great service catalog relieves pressure points and demonstrates the value of IT service management.
Why and how to choose the right cloud vendor
The benefits of cloud-based storage in your processes. Eliminate onsite, disk-based backup and archiving in favor of cloud-based data protection.
The Essential Guide to IT Transformation
ServiceNow discusses three IT transformations that can help CIO's automate IT services to transform IT and the enterprise.
Maximize storage efficiency across the enterprise
The HP StoreOnce backup solution offers highly flexible, centrally managed, and highly efficient data protection for any enterprise.