World+Dog to favour dual-core laptops through 2014
Quad-core won't be big until the year after
Buy a laptop in 2015, and there will be a 50 per cent chance it will contain a quad-core processor.
So says market watcher iHS iSuppli, after sampling current shipment rates. This year fewer than one in ten notebooks - nine per cent, to be precise - will come with a four-core chip.
Hexa-core CPUs will reach that level of penetration, almost, in 2014, rising to 18 per cent the following year, iSuppli forecast this week.
To put that into real numbers: shipments of quad-core notebooks will total 160m units in 2015, up almost eightfold on the 21.2m that will ship this year.
You might expect quad-cores to be on a more rapid growth trend, but the inevitable need to temper performance with reduced power consumption hinders their implementation.
That's why, even four years from now, 33 per cent of notebooks will still be single- or, more likely, dual-core machines, iSuppli's numbers imply.
During the first three months of 2011, Intel accounted for 82.6 per cent of global microprocessor revenue, up 1.6 percentage points of share from its standing in Q4 2010.
AMD accounted for 10.1 per cent of global microprocessor revenue in Q1 2011, down from 10.9 per cent in Q4 2010, itself down on the 11.8 per cent share it took in Q3 2010, iSuppli said. ®
That thinking ignores several points.
Not everyone wants a tablet, without a keyboard they're not easy to do real 'work' with. I can't see many travelling sales people writing out quotes, drawing up graphs and such-like on a tablet.
Accessing 'the cloud' is all good fun, but will be determined by internet access speed and won't be of use to those people who insist on doing CPU/GPU heavy stuff on a laptop.
I'm sure the tablet market will take some laptop users, but the laptops more versatile so it's not going anywhere. Whether it's battery can hack four or six core processors and all the relevant cooling is another story, the laptop may end-up as immobile as the desktop if power consumption isn't kept in check.
What a fool
That idiot obviously never tried to encode video.
Already Quad-core here
Just got a new MBP and it's a quad; and my old HP HDX from 2 years ago is a quad.
It's not just encoding video that needs more cores. The rumored new version of MS Word that automatically guesses the next 1000000 key presses you might make and spell checks them in the background will also benefit.
It used to be very nice when only a few apps could use multi-core, because it meant that the other cores were left for UI responsiveness or running 2 apps at full tilt. Once Flash becomes multi-core the world will stop as it manages to eat everything it can.