Feeds

Met confirms secret Gov forecast of Brass Monkey winter

Didn't share it with us, though

Internet Security Threat Report 2014

It's not our fault, we need bigger computers

The map showed an above average likelihood of milder weather for the next three months. The Met says that this data requires "expert interpretation" and "the need to be combined with a range of other information before you can make a seasonal forecast" (Oct 28). After criticism by London Mayor Boris Johnson, the Met again denied making a forecast of a "mild winter" (Dec 20).

The Met announced that it would stop making long range public forecasts in March this year – so the controversy centres on what exactly on what was said to whom, and when. The latter should be easy to clear up – once we find out exactly what communications passed between the Met Office and The Cabinet Office. But the Met vigorously denies "forecasting" anything.

A probabilistic map suggesting the likelihood of warmer-than-average temperatures prompted a flurry of news stories in October – followed by a denial from the Met that it the map constituted a prediction or forecast.

Chief Scientist at the Met Office Julia Slingo used the opportunity to campaign for a supercomputer upgrade.

"It's quite clear that if we could run our models at a higher resolution we could do a much better job – tomorrow – in terms of our seasonal and decadal predictions," she told Nature blog last week. "It's so frustrating. We keep saying we need four times the computing power."

Last year Slingo said "hundreds of millions of pounds" of new computer kit was needed.

It must be frustrating, indeed. The Met Office only took delivery of its £33m IBM supercomputer in February, following a deal signed in 2008.

The same models are used to predict both weather and climate, Slingo told Parliament in March last year. ®

Secure remote control for conventional and virtual desktops

More from The Register

next story
MI6 oversight report on Lee Rigby murder: US web giants offer 'safe haven for TERRORISM'
PM urged to 'prioritise issue' after Facebook hindsight find
Assange™ slumps back on Ecuador's sofa after detention appeal binned
Swedish court rules there's 'great risk' WikiLeaker will dodge prosecution
You think the CLOUD's insecure? It's BETTER than UK.GOV's DATA CENTRES
We don't even know where some of them ARE – Maude
NSA mass spying reform KILLED by US Senators
Democrats needed just TWO more votes to keep alive bill reining in some surveillance
prev story

Whitepapers

Why and how to choose the right cloud vendor
The benefits of cloud-based storage in your processes. Eliminate onsite, disk-based backup and archiving in favor of cloud-based data protection.
Forging a new future with identity relationship management
Learn about ForgeRock's next generation IRM platform and how it is designed to empower CEOS's and enterprises to engage with consumers.
Designing and building an open ITOA architecture
Learn about a new IT data taxonomy defined by the four data sources of IT visibility: wire, machine, agent, and synthetic data sets.
How to determine if cloud backup is right for your servers
Two key factors, technical feasibility and TCO economics, that backup and IT operations managers should consider when assessing cloud backup.
High Performance for All
While HPC is not new, it has traditionally been seen as a specialist area – is it now geared up to meet more mainstream requirements?