The baseband market
The other aspect of the mobile device is the baseband modem. While Qualcomm and others integrate this tightly with the processor, Intel, Marvell, Freescale, Nvidia and Texas Instruments just provide the latter component, alongside third party modems. With its planned acquisition of Infineon's wireless arm, Intel will gain its own baseband business. The jury is very much out on whether it really needs this, or whether it will manage it effectively, but at least it is purchasing the German unit at a time when it is gaining ground, according to new figures from Strategy Analytics.
This study found that non-handset mobile data devices are proving to be the big growth engine for device makers in late 2010 and 2011, and this is reflected in the cellular baseband chip market too. While unit shipments were up 23% in the first half of 2010, compared to the year-ago period, non-handset basebands outperformed this curve, and accounted for 12% of total revenues as of mid-year.
The figures also reflect the price pressures in basebands – while units were up 23%, revenues grew only 15.5% in the same period. However, the vendors will be focusing hard on the main growth generators – data cards, tablets, dongles and machine-to-machine devices.
Among those suppliers, Qualcomm continued to dominate with 39.6% revenue share in the first half of the year. “We believe much of the Qualcomm's growth came from smartphones and non-handsets in 1H 2010,” said analyst Stuart Robinson.
The US giant still has almost 2.5 times the market share of its nearest rival, MediaTek, though this could be squeezed as the Taiwanese supplier moves into higher end markets. Currently, the two firms have very different profiles – Qualcomm, of course, has its CDMA near-monopoly to boost its rankings, but it also shines at the high end with HSPA+ and LTE modems on the horizon.
MediaTek, as Strategy Analytics points out, has only recently launched its first W-CDMA product and focuses on low end handsets, especially those made in China. It had less than 1% market share in 3G but was the leader in GSM/GPRS/EDGE as well as, unsurprisingly, the Chinese 3G standard, TD-SCDMA. However, the report says “MediaTek's baseband shipments to grey handset OEMs showed signs of decline in 1H 2010 in the wake of government-led crackdowns in India and China.”
After the big two came ST-Ericsson, coming out of a transition period with a newly enhanced and rationalized product line for 2G, 3G and LTE, but it still needs to boost its stagnant W-CDMA share. This is being pressurized by Qualcomm and also Infineon, whose wireless business is in the process of being acquired by Intel. The German firm continued to gain share in 2G and W-CDMA markets and is positioning well against Qualcomm in non-handset segments, where it has an estimated 9% share. The Intel purchase should strengthen this hand.
Broadcom remains well behind the top four but its baseband revenue did grow by 245% year-on-year, as it gained new design wins at Nokia and Samsung for EDGE and W-CDMA. Also making progress were Spreadtrum of China, Marvell, the "other CDMA supplier‟ Via Telecom, and the UK's Icera, which has a software defined strategy for LTE. Renesas' baseband revenues were down slightly but this should reverse after its takeover of Nokia's own baseband activities and its LTE design alliance with the Finnish giant.
Copyright © 2010, Wireless Watch
Wireless Watch is published by Rethink Research, a London-based IT publishing and consulting firm. This weekly newsletter delivers in-depth analysis and market research of mobile and wireless for business. Subscription details are here.
Intel sets out tablet stall for Atom
Its going to be a hard sell
Intel may surprise me, but I can't see a x86 architecture getting close to ARM in the most important area and that is power consumption. They will certainly reduce it but the x86 architecture is a doubled edged sword for Intel. While it gives huge sales and profits in PC's, so far it has shown itself incapable of scaling down to mobile devices and unfortunately that is the growth market.
Laws of physics
Due to its archaic CISC architecture the Atom will never match ARM's efficiency. They would need to change the architecture radically and then kiss goodbye to compatibility and wait for many people to rewrite the base software (OS, compilers...) Ain't gonna happen. Intel will just pull some tricks that will increase efficiency a bit and spin the figures. Stupid analysts, they think Intel just needs to "work on it" and somehow in their parallel universe the laws of physics don't apply but they DO.
x86 tablet? bah!
While Atom might use far less power than its other Intel stable-mates, they really chew up the leccy when compared with ARM etc.
Anyone designing an Atom-based tablet will struggle to sell it alongside ipads and others.
You are right
>>Anyone designing an Atom-based tablet will struggle to sell it alongside ipads and others.
You are 100% right! So true! :P
"all of the assets at our disposal"
"We will use all of the assets at our disposal to win this segment,"
Will that include continuing to strongarm (sic) your volume PC/server customers to stay in the Wintel fold, even when ARM/Linux is a better fit for a particular market segment which might be of interest to those customers (say, for example, HP or Dell)?
Will that include continuing to massively and illegally bribe companies such as Dell to stay away from AMD?
Will that include the death of chip-independence at now-Intel-owned embedded OS supplier VxWorks?
Intel are up against the wall, their toolbag has nothing valuable except desktop and server x86 and privately they know it, they've already been caught pretty much blackmailing their big customers (Dell), and it needs Intel to be watched very very very very carefully.
"Intel's rebates amounted to 38 per cent of Dell's operating profit in the fiscal year 2006"
"Intel prized Dell exclusivity so highly, it was losing its grip on reality."
"Dell was keeping competitive products away from its customers, in order to meet short term quarterly financial targets. It's remarkable how the needs of the Dell customer came way down the priority list."
These guys have got form.