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Apple to sell 45m iPads in 2011?

After 16m in 2010, says component supplier

Apple will sell more than twice as many iPads next year as it will in 2010, one market watcher has suggested.

Despite the arrival of Android 3.0 and a flood of tablets from rival manufacturers, Apple will ship 45m iPads in 2011, calculates Ticonderoga Securities analyst Brian White. His number for 2010, relayed by Forbes magazine, is 16m units.

White's numbers come from an Asian supplier of iPad components. He doesn't say which part, but notes that only one is used per device, so possibly the screen. Whatever it is, the mole said his company sent Apple 6m of them in Q3 and will send 7m more in Q4. Add in the 3m Apple is believed to have sold through to the end of Q2 and you have approximately 16m iPads out there by the end of the year.

White himself is more sober, suggesting almost 22m iPads will be sold next year, up from 12m or so in 2010. As Forbes notes, Piper Jaffray's Gene Munster - usually very bullish where Apple is concerned - only reckons 21m iPads will be sold in 2011.

White's mole claims the next iPad will sport a 7in screen, have a hi-res display like the iPhone 4's, a camera, a mini or micro USB port and 128GB of storage. All of these could be educated guesses rather than data from someone in the know.

But he also says the refresh will come in Q1, ahead of the iPad's first anniversary. ®

Billions?

You're numerically challenged dude. If Dell/HP sold billions per year then every man/woman/child/other would have at least 1 of their PC's in their hot and sweaty little hands, or not.

I'm sure even Paris can count...

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Interesting

They pay for landfill now?

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Was it just me....

....or did anyone else misread the title as 45 metre iPads?

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Re: 21" screen?

>> "White's mole claims the next iPad will sport a 7in screen..."

Why and how? This implies that Apple will either dilute their brand by offering two very similar models (one of which strangely fits too closely between the iPod Touch and the "normal-sized" iPad); or somehow admit that their best selling product so far is designed wrong by a too big a screen, and shrink it in its next version.

The former would be confusing to the typical consumer because the difference in size is minor, compared to iPod Touch to iPod Nano, or iPod Touch to iPad. The latter is extremely unlikely do to the popularity of the current model and the un-Apple-ness of the option.

-dZ.

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how many?

So they expect over 1% of the world's population to own this luxury toy by the end of next year? More than all Iphone sales combined? And they get paid to make these idiotic predictions? how can I get a job like that? That would be like saying that Halo Reach is going to sell 208Million copies annually based on it's first week sales projected over a year.

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