Glasses-less 3D TV by Xmas? Not likely, says 3D TV exec
More like 2013
Toshiba may be gearing up to release a no-specs 3D TV in Japan by the end of the year, but Philips' 3D TV development partner reckons we will have to wait longer. It doesn't reckon any vendor will have one out before 2013.
So says, Maarten Tobias, CEO of Dimenco, a firm founded by four former Philips people and which is now handling Philips' specs-less 3D TV development work.
Tobias told website Broadcast TV News it will be "three to five years" before glasses-free 3D TVs will be released commercially. Naturally, he expects Philips to be the first manufacturer to do so.
Whatever, that prediction puts the debut of such screens sometime between 2013 and 2015.
Specs-less 3D TVs are not new and have been demo'd by various companies - Philips and LG, in particular - for some years. The problem is working out how to make them cheaply enough.
At the IFA show this week, all the major manufacturers are pushing 3D hard, clearly viewing the technology as a way to sell us all lots more kit. The snag: there's no real evidence that punters actually want it, and are certainly not prepared to pay a premium to watch content - what little there is - in 3D.
Perhaps, then, active-shutter and passive 3D glasses and the technology behind them are merely a stepping stone to stereoscopic 3D you can view with the naked eye.
And Toshiba's Christmas 2010 release plan? Well that's what Japanese newspaper Yomiuri Shimbun claimed. Toshiba itself has only admitted it's working on the technology. ®
"...We've all forked out on new HD TVs,"
LOL not all of us.
What seems to have been missed by all the producers....
is that most people have only just (in the last 2 to 3 years) just spanked there wallets upgrading to LCD .... and we have to replace them again? Jo Consumer won't do this. I'm a techie as most of us are here and I personal won't do it! Do I want 3d? Of course! Do I want to throw away a perfectly good £1500 LCD? F*&K NO!
Now, the producers of these 3d TV's are asking non-techie, Jo Consumer to do this? Snow ball in hell chance!
They rammed LCD down our throats, let them suffer the result of that....
I have no doubt that at IBC in Amsterdam next week you will be able to see all the latest 3-d technologies. You can also see me, showing how nothing's changed since the Victorians invented the thing in the 1840s... Hall 10. Apparently I'll be the one in the top hat.
As others have indirectly pointed out, the only real reason for 3-d displays is, basically, to sell more displays. It's stereoscopic, not 3-d (you can't see behind things), and it'll last as long as it did twenty years ago, forty years ago, sixty years ago, a hundred years ago...
It does occur to me that one reason it's become suddenly popular with film makers could be that the cgi stuff - and particularly the animated cartoons - are made with virtual 3-d models. If you're going to render it once for a flat film, it's a piece of cake to render it again from three inches to the right.
Bob, all a 3-d camera needs to do to zoom in is, er, to zoom in. You *might* want to move the axes of the lenses but it's not necessary. There's a whole question of the grammar of the image, of course, but I'm not going there.
"Not likely, says 3D TV exec"
That's a flat denial.
Not psudeo-flat, interlaced with other viewpoints or positional dependant in any way.
3D programs strike me as far to difficult to create to become main stream. For example, how can a 3D camera zoom-in? In 2D you just need a special lens to zoom-in and give the impression of getting closer to the object. But with 3D you will also need to change the angle of vision of both of the cameras, i.e. the cameras will need to move further apart by an impractical distance.
3D will fail as soon as people realise that they have been had by the HD con. We've all forked out on new HD TVs, but the programs are still just as crap.