Sony exec forecasts physical media future
Games to ship on discs for years, says Hirai
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If in ten years we've all got diskless PlayStations and Xboxes, we'll all be able to jeer at Sony Computer Enterainment CEO Kaz Hirai who this week forecast such things are at least that far off, if not longer.
There are two reasons for this, he told trade paper MCV, one technical, one commercial.
From a technological standpoint, the network isn't up to it. “We do business in parts of the world where network infrastructure isn’t as robust as one would hope,” he said.
Then there's the - probably more important - commercial angle: “There’s always going to be requirement for a business of our size and scope to have a physical medium."
In short, Sony not yet ready to dismantle its infrastructure of disc makers, distributors and resellers in favour of massiver server farms and downloads.
This despite the fact that this is how music has gone and, arguably, movies aren't all that far away from going.
It may happen, Hirai told the paper, but not in the stort term: "To think everything will be downloaded in two years, three years or even ten years from now is taking it a little bit to the extreme.”
We shall see. ®
COMMENTS
"despite the fact that this is how music has gone"
A track on iTunes is 6-7 MB, you could download that with dialup. A crappy youtube quality TV episode is about 100 MB, and abut 2-3 times that for good quality SD. An HD movie 8-9 GB for crappy 720p xbox download or 20+ for good 1080p with zero extra features (don't expect high quality to even be available).
With most ISPs moving to capped service (and I'm sure if downloads became popular some would think they should get a cut) you would need to buy the expensive plan to get a high enough cap. I'm not going to pay $70 a month just so I can download a couple of HD movies
"despite the fact that this is how music has gone"
Has it? So I must have been imagining all those CD's I still buy, both online and in brick & mortar stores then? As far as I was aware, downloading was an *option*, not a requirement. I've only downloaded one entire album and that was because it cost £7 to download from Amazon or £30 to import the CD from Japan. Other than that I want a lossless physical copy that I can play where I want, rip to format of my choice, lend to friends etc, and I don't particularly want that to change thank you very much.
I hope he is right
Online distribution only =
1) basically one (or very few) distributor fixing prices without any competition.
2) you don't own anything so you can resell anything
3) many other anti-consumer reasons such as crazy DRM, crazy EULAs, etc
I hope online distribution never replaces physical distribution completely.

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