Feeds

England beat Germany - what are the odds?

It's a numbers game

  • alert
  • submit to reddit

The essential guide to IT transformation

World Cup Stats Sunday afternoon England and Germany resume a rivalry that has spanned generations as they meet for the sixth time in major finals since 1970.

So what does Bettorlogic's look at England (Bettorlogic Rank 8) and Germany (ranked 5) tell us?

Despite never having lost in 90 minutes to the Germans in these past five meetings – W1-D4-L0 – England have still been sent packing in all three knock-out matches as in 1970 they lost in extra-time and then in 1990 and 1996 were famously beaten on penalties.

Both countries have good knock-out records in major tournaments with England having lost just 2/14 matches since 1970 in 90 minutes and Germany just 8/38. However, England have qualified in just six of 14 occasions with a W1-L5 record in penalty shoot-outs.

Also, nine of their 14 matches have been level at half-time.

Germany have qualified from 27 of their 38 knock-out matches at finals tournaments and have won all of their last 16 matches at World Cups since 1986, although just one of those matches was against a top-10 team.

Furthermore, the Germans have been level at half-time in half their 38 knock-out games.

There have been 43 World Cup knock-out matches between two top-10 teams since 1970 with the higher ranked team W12-D15-L16 and going W0-D11-L4 after extra-time, although they’ve an excellent record in penalties with nine wins out of 11.

Also, there have been 24 World Cup first knock-out matches since 1970 where one team won fewer than six points in their group, the other won at least six and both teams were separated by no more than 10 ranking positions. In these matches the team with the better group record – in this case Germany – went W12-D6-L6 and qualified in 15 of 24 matches. However, looking just at neutral matches and the record becomes slightly more even at W9-D6-L5 with 11 half-time draws.

Its recommendation: Germany to qualify. ®

5 things you didn’t know about cloud backup

More from The Register

next story
The Return of BSOD: Does ANYONE trust Microsoft patches?
Sysadmins, you're either fighting fires or seen as incompetents now
China hopes home-grown OS will oust Microsoft
Doesn't much like Apple or Google, either
Microsoft refuses to nip 'Windows 9' unzip lip slip
Look at the shiny Windows 8.1, why can't you people talk about 8.1, sobs an exec somewhere
Linux turns 23 and Linus Torvalds celebrates as only he can
No, not with swearing, but by controlling the release cycle
This is how I set about making a fortune with my own startup
Would you leave your well-paid job to chase your dream?
Microsoft cries UNINSTALL in the wake of Blue Screens of Death™
Cache crash causes contained choloric calamity
Eat up Martha! Microsoft slings handwriting recog into OneNote on Android
Freehand input on non-Windows kit for the first time
Linux kernel devs made to finger their dongles before contributing code
Two-factor auth enabled for Kernel.org repositories
prev story

Whitepapers

Implementing global e-invoicing with guaranteed legal certainty
Explaining the role local tax compliance plays in successful supply chain management and e-business and how leading global brands are addressing this.
5 things you didn’t know about cloud backup
IT departments are embracing cloud backup, but there’s a lot you need to know before choosing a service provider. Learn all the critical things you need to know.
Why and how to choose the right cloud vendor
The benefits of cloud-based storage in your processes. Eliminate onsite, disk-based backup and archiving in favor of cloud-based data protection.
Top 8 considerations to enable and simplify mobility
In this whitepaper learn how to successfully add mobile capabilities simply and cost effectively.
High Performance for All
While HPC is not new, it has traditionally been seen as a specialist area – is it now geared up to meet more mainstream requirements?