PS3 will outsell Wii by 2013
Cumulative sales win for Sony, says analyst
Sony's PlayStation 3 will become the world's most popular gaming platform - but it'll take three more years to get there.
By the end of 2010, Mercer forecasts, Nintendo will have shipped around 76m Wiis, but this year will see a big decline in Wii sales. New, exciting software releases aren't appearing as rapidly as they are on other platforms, and the novelty of the Nintendo has begun to wear off.
SA reckons console sales will be down nine per cent on last year's total of 52.2m, itself down six per cent on the 2008. Some 47.5m consoles will be sold this year, it reckons. PS3 and Xbox sales will increase, so that's a big drop in demand for the Wii on the cards.
Nintendo, Mercer reckons, will sell maybe 27m more Wiis, taking the console's cumulative lifetime sales to 103m units. The PS3 will reach 127m, putting it on a par with the PS2.
But that's a tentative figure, Mercer admitted. Sales could be higher if Sony's plan to tempt buyers with the PS3's upcoming 3D support proves successful. Its Motion Controller peripheral may win over Wii buyers too, though Microsoft's Project Natal will be trying to do the same for the Xbox. ®
I'd be very suprised if new hardware was being touted in 2013.
All 3 major manufacturers seem to be suggesting that the current crop will be with us for quite a few years yet, even though some of them (Wii and 360) are beginning to look a little long in the tooth.
Personally, i have all 3 systems and i have to agree wholeheartedly that the novelty is worn off the Wii, for me it went a long time ago.
The 360 to be honest gets the most play, but going forward im getting more and more irritated by it. It feels like every single feature on the 360 is an advert for them to peddle tat like avatar baseball caps or overpriced DLC crap.
The 3d link is an interesting one - does anyone know if the sales figures they predicted for 2008 / 09 close to the actual sales?
Reminds me of this
It's based on a Sony announcement in 2008 I believe.
See also: http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v48/Slavik81/May_Since_Nov062.jpg
Real Sony graph: http://i.i.com.com/cnwk.1d/i/bto/20080520/ProjectedConsoleChart_v1_460x323.gif
Xmas 2012 watch this space
I'd be very surprised if there *wasn't* new hardware out from at least one of the big three by 2013.
They may be predicting 10-year life cycles for the current generation, but that doesn't mean the next generation wont overlap by 2-3 years like with PS/PS2 and PS2/PS3. The 360 has nearly been out longer than the original XBox now and is showing it's age compared with low-end PC gaming tech. Also there's only so many potential price cuts left.
I think we might see a smaller, cost reduced 360 released with Natal, to coincide with the mid-point of it's predicted 10-year lifespan. We're also approaching the time where flash will make hard discs redundant for games consoles.
It will be interesting to see how many full (non-stream) CPU cores they have in the next generation as the 360 was pushing it at 3 cores in 2005.
all your base
of course they are suggesting they will be around for a long time....they still want people to buy them.
Successors will be well in development by now, I wouldn't be surprised if the 360 successor is announced in early 2011 once christmas is out of the way.