Feeds

Renegade weatherman forecast today's storm weeks ago

Mystic Met baffled

Top three mobile application threats

Piers Corbyn's renegade weather outfit has comprehensively trumped the taxpayer funded Met Office. Back in August, Corbyn's WeatherAction forecast storms for 17-19 November. Or more accurately, WA made this prediction, upgrading it to 85 per cent accuracy:

N Sea Storm Surge Stormy with heavy rain - snow & blizzards in Scot & N/E later. N Sea storm & coastal flood warnings East Anglia & Holland 18-19/20th enhanced by new moon 16/17th (Red oval = danger sea level rise) S Ireland & S/W less wet & windy.

Severe gales with gusts from 75 to 100mph were also forecast. Now the Mystic Met has finally caught up and upgraded its yellow alert to orange earlier this week - and now suggests half the monthly rainfall for November will fall tonight.

Corbyn still says the flooding may not occur in East Anglia and the Netherlands if the Low "plunging South in South Sweden" - the motion required to produce a storm surge - is too far to the East.

The basis of this was a Red "SWIP" or "Solar Weather Impact Period" - a strong burst of solar particle and electromagnetic activity. He won't publish his methodology. Last month Corbyn said the moon has a small but important role in modulating the field, depending on its position (it needs to be behind the earth, apparently).

So far Corbyn has predicted November with spooky accuracy, bar one slight glitch. The glitch was Saturday's dramatic winds, which led him to suggest that the 17-19 storms we're experiencing had come early. But Sunday saw the weather revert to his forecast of dry and bright weather.

Any mention of Corbyn usually provokes hostile ad hominem emails - which is interesting. No doubt it's purely coincidence that The Met Office operates its own commercial division, set up in 1999. ®

Bootnote

Our interest is piqued enough to make us want to examine the forecasts in detail - a "Piers Review", if you like. But what's a sensible way of measuring the accuracy of a long-range forecast? If you predict an extreme weather event but are on a day out - how should that rank? How should missing an extreme event rank? Suggestions in an email please.

High performance access to file storage

More from The Register

next story
KILLER SPONGES menacing California coastline
Surfers are safe, crustaceans less so
Opportunity selfie: Martian winds have given the spunky ol' rover a spring cleaning
Power levels up 70 per cent as the rover keeps on truckin'
LOHAN and the amazing technicolor spaceplane
Our Vulture 2 livery is wrapped, and it's les noix du mutt
Liftoff! SpaceX Falcon 9 lifts Dragon on third resupply mission to ISS
SpaceX snaps smartly into one-second launch window
KILLER ROBOTS, DNA TAMPERING and PEEPING CYBORGS: the future looks bright!
Americans optimistic about technology despite being afraid of EVERYTHING
R.I.P. LADEE: Probe smashes into lunar surface at 3,600mph
Swan dive signs off successful science mission
Discovery time for 200m WONDER MATERIALS shaved from 4 MILLENNIA... to 4 years
Alloy, Alloy: Boffins in speed-classification breakthrough
prev story

Whitepapers

SANS - Survey on application security programs
In this whitepaper learn about the state of application security programs and practices of 488 surveyed respondents, and discover how mature and effective these programs are.
Combat fraud and increase customer satisfaction
Based on their experience using HP ArcSight Enterprise Security Manager for IT security operations, Finansbank moved to HP ArcSight ESM for fraud management.
The benefits of software based PBX
Why you should break free from your proprietary PBX and how to leverage your existing server hardware.
Top three mobile application threats
Learn about three of the top mobile application security threats facing businesses today and recommendations on how to mitigate the risk.
3 Big data security analytics techniques
Applying these Big Data security analytics techniques can help you make your business safer by detecting attacks early, before significant damage is done.