Feeds

Renegade weatherman forecast today's storm weeks ago

Mystic Met baffled

Beginner's guide to SSL certificates

Piers Corbyn's renegade weather outfit has comprehensively trumped the taxpayer funded Met Office. Back in August, Corbyn's WeatherAction forecast storms for 17-19 November. Or more accurately, WA made this prediction, upgrading it to 85 per cent accuracy:

N Sea Storm Surge Stormy with heavy rain - snow & blizzards in Scot & N/E later. N Sea storm & coastal flood warnings East Anglia & Holland 18-19/20th enhanced by new moon 16/17th (Red oval = danger sea level rise) S Ireland & S/W less wet & windy.

Severe gales with gusts from 75 to 100mph were also forecast. Now the Mystic Met has finally caught up and upgraded its yellow alert to orange earlier this week - and now suggests half the monthly rainfall for November will fall tonight.

Corbyn still says the flooding may not occur in East Anglia and the Netherlands if the Low "plunging South in South Sweden" - the motion required to produce a storm surge - is too far to the East.

The basis of this was a Red "SWIP" or "Solar Weather Impact Period" - a strong burst of solar particle and electromagnetic activity. He won't publish his methodology. Last month Corbyn said the moon has a small but important role in modulating the field, depending on its position (it needs to be behind the earth, apparently).

So far Corbyn has predicted November with spooky accuracy, bar one slight glitch. The glitch was Saturday's dramatic winds, which led him to suggest that the 17-19 storms we're experiencing had come early. But Sunday saw the weather revert to his forecast of dry and bright weather.

Any mention of Corbyn usually provokes hostile ad hominem emails - which is interesting. No doubt it's purely coincidence that The Met Office operates its own commercial division, set up in 1999. ®

Bootnote

Our interest is piqued enough to make us want to examine the forecasts in detail - a "Piers Review", if you like. But what's a sensible way of measuring the accuracy of a long-range forecast? If you predict an extreme weather event but are on a day out - how should that rank? How should missing an extreme event rank? Suggestions in an email please.

Choosing a cloud hosting partner with confidence

More from The Register

next story
Bond villains lament as Wicked Lasers withdraw death ray
Want to arm that shark? Better get in there quick
Renewable energy 'simply WON'T WORK': Top Google engineers
Windmills, solar, tidal - all a 'false hope', say Stanford PhDs
SEX BEAST SEALS may be egging each other on to ATTACK PENGUINS
Boffin: 'I think the behaviour is increasing in frequency'
Reuse the Force, Luke: SpaceX's Elon Musk reveals X-WING designs
And a floating carrier for recyclable rockets
The next big thing in medical science: POO TRANSPLANTS
Your brother's gonna die, kid, unless we can give him your, well ...
Antarctic ice THICKER than first feared – penguin-bot boffins
Robo-sub scans freezing waters, rocks warming models
NASA launches new climate model at SC14
75 days of supercomputing later ...
Britain's HUMAN DNA-strewing Moon mission rakes in £200k
3 days, and Kickstarter moves lander 37% nearer takeoff
Your PHONE is slowly KILLING YOU
Doctors find new Digitillnesses - 'text neck' and 'telepressure'
prev story

Whitepapers

Why and how to choose the right cloud vendor
The benefits of cloud-based storage in your processes. Eliminate onsite, disk-based backup and archiving in favor of cloud-based data protection.
A strategic approach to identity relationship management
ForgeRock commissioned Forrester to evaluate companies’ IAM practices and requirements when it comes to customer-facing scenarios versus employee-facing ones.
Go beyond APM with real-time IT operations analytics
How IT operations teams can harness the wealth of wire data already flowing through their environment for real-time operational intelligence.
How to determine if cloud backup is right for your servers
Two key factors, technical feasibility and TCO economics, that backup and IT operations managers should consider when assessing cloud backup.
High Performance for All
While HPC is not new, it has traditionally been seen as a specialist area – is it now geared up to meet more mainstream requirements?