Feeds

Gartner dips chip forecast for 2009

Something about an economic something-or-other

3 Big data security analytics techniques

The chip industry has done OK despite global economic troubles, but the road ahead isn't looking nearly so pleasant, according to a new survey by Gartner.

The market researcher/diviner's formal report on the semiconductor business won't be ready until the end of November, but it's already made some major revisions to previous predictions.

Gartner now estimates 2009 semiconductor revenue will rise only 1 per cent to $282.2bn compared to a year ago. Before, Gartner had forecast growth of 7.8 per cent to $307.7bn. That's a $25.5bn reduction in potential (future make-believe) sales.

"Semiconductor growth was surprisingly strong until recently, given the very weak economic environment, but this will start to change in the fourth quarter of 2008" said Bryan Lewis, research veep at Gartner in the Semiconductor DQ Monday Report. "Mounting evidence suggests that the semiconductor industry will see negative growth starting in the fourth quarter of 2008, and that this will continue throughout most of 2009."

Revenues for Q4 2008 is estimated to be a 2 per cent increase year-over-year to total $279.4bn. Gartner's previous prediction was 4.2 per cent growth in the quarter.

"In a recession, it's important to remember that there will not only be a potential reduction in the number of systems sold, but also a move to lower-cost systems with less semiconductor content," Lewis said.

On a positive note, the research firm's crystal ball apparently gets reception from 2010 and the industry is in store for a rebound. It predicts 10.5 per cent growth that year on revenues of $311.8bn that year.

Alas, it also sees a big supply-driven downturn in 2012. Or maybe we can use this knowledge of the future to prevent it...To the timemobile! ®

SANS - Survey on application security programs

More from The Register

next story
Leaked pics show EMBIGGENED iPhone 6 screen
Fat-fingered fanbois rejoice over Chinternet snaps
Oh no, Joe: WinPhone users already griping over 8.1 mega-update
Hang on. Which bit of Developer Preview don't you understand?
Microsoft lobs pre-release Windows Phone 8.1 at devs who dare
App makers can load it before anyone else, but if they do they're stuck with it
True optical zoom coming to HTC smartphone cameras
Time to ditch that heavy DSLR? Maybe in a year, year and a half
Rounded corners? Pah! Amazon's '3D phone has eye-tracking tech'
Now THAT'S what we call a proper new feature
Zucker punched: Google gobbles Facebook-wooed Titan Aerospace
Up, up and away in my beautiful balloon flying broadband-bot
US mobile firms cave on kill switch, agree to install anti-theft code
Slow and kludgy rollout will protect corporate profits
Leaked photos may indicate slimmer next-generation iPad
Will iPad Air evolve into iPad Helium?
Sony battery recall as VAIO goes out with a bang, not a whimper
The perils of having Panasonic as a partner
prev story

Whitepapers

SANS - Survey on application security programs
In this whitepaper learn about the state of application security programs and practices of 488 surveyed respondents, and discover how mature and effective these programs are.
Combat fraud and increase customer satisfaction
Based on their experience using HP ArcSight Enterprise Security Manager for IT security operations, Finansbank moved to HP ArcSight ESM for fraud management.
The benefits of software based PBX
Why you should break free from your proprietary PBX and how to leverage your existing server hardware.
Top three mobile application threats
Learn about three of the top mobile application security threats facing businesses today and recommendations on how to mitigate the risk.
3 Big data security analytics techniques
Applying these Big Data security analytics techniques can help you make your business safer by detecting attacks early, before significant damage is done.