The great British iPhone mystery

Can Apple dispel smartphone apathy?

  • alert
  • submit to reddit

Build a business case: developing custom apps

Believe it or not, the iPhone has become a stealth hit over on this Soggy and Septic Isle. But this should come as no surprise to anyone familiar with the psychology of the British punter.

When the iPhone arrived it here it was greeted with studied indifference. You'll recall that Carphone Warehouse and O2 stores stayed open late for a stampede that never came.

The splashy launch - and the glee at O2's discomfort that followed - only seemed to confirm the view that British punters congratulate themselves for being immune to imported hypes.

But this has been overtaken by another aspect of consumer psychology here. More than anything else, British punters love boasting about a bargain. Like tea, it's something that unites all classes. Even if one must lie about the "bargain" that isn't a bargain at all - and has just been bought on an already over-extended credit card.

So we shouldn't be surprised that shortly after Apple's UK retail partners slashed the price of the 8GB by £100, it had sold out.

Bargain. Innit?

This also confirmed that the iPhone has been more successful as a word-of-mouth hit than it was as sensation-of-the-month. I've noticed that the people sniffiest about the product are people who have yet to see a friend using one. The huge and incessant advertising campaign from O2 and Apple may actually have obscured, rather than illuminated, two facts: it's a pretty decent product, and that people like to use it.

Satisfaction ratings for the iPhone after months of use are far higher than for any other phone - which suggests it's passed the real world test. For sure, it isn't perfect - but most of what it does, it does superbly. And yes, it really has got grown men stroking a piece of glass in public.

So we can surmise that so far, this is a piece of kit that has been held back by the exclusive distribution model (the exclusive carrier deals) that Apple has preferred. Fortunately, we're already seeing this crack, with non-exclusive deals signed in Italy, India and Australia. This means that means rival operators in each market will be prepared to lower the upfront cost of acquiring an iPhone: remember that when you get a phone, you're essentially getting it on a hire-purchase agreement at a subsidized price, paying for it over the period of the contract. Which means an iPhone will no longer be prohibitively expensive.

Let's contrast this with Nokia's fortunes.

Can Nokia still cut it?

When, a few years ago, I described Sony and Nokia as the only two companies who could call the shots in consumer electronics, a few eyebrows were raised. Sony, yes. But Nokia?

I anticipated that success in smartphones would be a beachhead into a bunch of other consumer electronics markets. Few noticed that Nokia already made TVs and set-top boxes. It had just launched a games console, too.

In fact, Nokia had began planning for "mobile multimedia convergence" in the mid-1990s, when it began sniffing out a next-generation operating system - it eventually opted for Psion's Epoc, which became Symbian OS. For years Nokia put its best brains on the task - and sat back and waited. And waited.

Then there's another factor: Smartphone Apathy.

I first drew attention to this almost two years ago - when it was evident that Nokia's vision of convergence was in a lot of trouble. As I wrote in Whatever happened to ... the smartphone?

The smartphone had found a niche with enthusiasts, but most of the potential of an open, flexible device with lots of third party software was ignored by most of the people who had one. Nokia has the volumes in the smartphone market, but it hardly matters.

Pundit Dean Bubley recently drew attention to just how indifferent the public is to this prospect.

Symbian OS shipment - last six quarters

Symbian OS shipments

All of which must make long-time Symbian veterans wince - it's not their fault, after all, that their dominant customer keeps churning out products that fail to excite the market.

My particular favourite example of how the iPhone succeeds where Nokia's S60 fails is their respective Maps applications. With the iPhone, you start typing a name and it will assume that it's the name of a contact with an address that you're after. With a minimum of keystrokes, you're away. It's so obvious. Yet despite a €7.7bn acquisition of the world's leading map provider, Nokia still doesn't provide this deep level of integration, and in keeping with the Spirit of S60, simple things are hard to do.

There's another reason Nokia is weak where it should be strong.

What are they smoking in the Strategy Boutique?

In a recent blog post titled Nokia goes for 1% market share in the US, analyst Michael Mace gave a damning overview of Nokia's marketing. As we've noted before, this is designed to win over gadget bloggers in focus groups, but looks shockingly bad to your ordinary civilian.

Michael takes apart the "Open to Anything" advertising campaign -

"Once again, Nokia is communicating that its users are freaks and morons, which in the US is not the way to build a loyal following. Nokia has a long habit in the US of positioning itself as the preferred phone of people who lack social skills."

One great example of this is the "Jealous Computers" site for Nokia's Nseries phones. This purports to show victims of "attacks" by jealous laptops. Trebles all round at the ad agency.

But of course, laptops aren't sentient, and don't attack people. So one must conclude that Nokia Nseries owners have a fetish for self-mutilation:

Noka N95: Comes With Self-mutilation?

Noka N95: Comes With Self-mutilation?


We'd never thought of "Total Cost of Ownership" quite like this before. While this may go down a storm with the Emo kids, it's not the way to sell a mass market consumer device. But because it's dependent on closed feedback loops, or what is fashionably called an "information cascade", Nokia seems unable to accept this.

(For example, Nokia's feedback tells it that the N95 is a hugely well-loved phone - but real feedback suggests otherwise. Only a recent flurry of activity by fanboys at the O2 site has dragged the N95's rating up above mediocre.)

3G prospects

So Apple has simply stepped into a market which was ailing through customer indifference, and rejuvenated it. How will the rivals fare with the imminent launch of the 3G iPhone?

Ominously for the established players, Apple is loosening the carrier restrictions which have held back adoption. Reports suggest it may also lower the price of the older model, to further stimulate the market. All of which means the iPhone is a bigger threat than rivals have realized. When the iPhone is priced similarly to the competition, the quality simply blows them away.

Sony Ericsson, whose investment in UIQ has given it a far richer and friendlier interface than Nokia's cumbersome S60, looks well placed to capitalise on the renewed interest. It's given a little bit of "touch" to its new phones, but focussed on how the touch UI can help do a couple of things very well. (Page down to the promo videos, here, and you'll see what I mean.) But SE has only two UIQ phones announced, so far.

While it's reasonable to argue that "smart devices" may never become a truly mass market, and will remain niche, Apple has earned its leadership through sheer quality - making rivals looks stupid.

And along the way its strongest potential competitor, Nokia, has turned into a Sony - but not how I imagined. Sony was always a hothouse of viciously warring factions, far keener to kneecap each other than sock it to the competition. Just when the market needs a strong and coherent response, a similar fate has befallen Nokia. ®

Secure remote control for conventional and virtual desktops

More from The Register

next story
UK fuzz want PINCODES on ALL mobile phones
Met Police calls for mandatory passwords on all new mobes
Canadian ISP Shaw falls over with 'routing' sickness
How sure are you of cloud computing now?
Don't call it throttling: Ericsson 'priority' tech gives users their own slice of spectrum
Actually it's a nifty trick - at least you'll pay for what you get
Three floats Jolla in Hong Kong: Says Sailfish is '3rd option'
Network throws hat into ring with Linux-powered handsets
Fifteen zero days found in hacker router comp romp
Four routers rooted in SOHOpelessly Broken challenge
New Sprint CEO says he will lower axe on staff – but prices come first
'Very disruptive' new rates to be revealed next week
US TV stations bowl sueball directly at FCC's spectrum mega-sale
Broadcasters upset about coverage and cost as they shift up and down the dials
Ancient pager tech SMS: It works, it's fab, but wow, get a load of that incoming SPAM
Networks' main issue: they don't know how it works, says expert
Trans-Pacific: Google spaffs cash on FAST undersea packet-flinging
One of 6 backers for new 60 Tbps cable to hook US to Japan
Tech city types developing 'Google Glass for the blind' app
An app and service where other people 'see' for you
prev story


5 things you didn’t know about cloud backup
IT departments are embracing cloud backup, but there’s a lot you need to know before choosing a service provider. Learn all the critical things you need to know.
Implementing global e-invoicing with guaranteed legal certainty
Explaining the role local tax compliance plays in successful supply chain management and e-business and how leading global brands are addressing this.
Build a business case: developing custom apps
Learn how to maximize the value of custom applications by accelerating and simplifying their development.
Rethinking backup and recovery in the modern data center
Combining intelligence, operational analytics, and automation to enable efficient, data-driven IT organizations using the HP ABR approach.
Next gen security for virtualised datacentres
Legacy security solutions are inefficient due to the architectural differences between physical and virtual environments.