Feeds

World mobile phone market growth to stall

Revenues will not reach 2005's peak until 2009, researcher warns

3 Big data security analytics techniques

Mobile phone shipments may rise this year, but manufacturers are going to see revenues fall as the momentum driving the market over the past few years stalls.

That's market watcher iSuppli's forecast, at any rate. This week it predicted that global factory revenue will fall 4.7 per cent from $115.1bn in 2005 to $109.7bn this year. While growth will resume in 2007, the firm reckons, it will be slow, and sales will not match 2005's total until 2009.

Production will plateau at around 900m units a year for the rest of the decade in market contrast to the rapid output growth seen from 2002-2004, the researcher said, when output grew from around 450m units to roughly 750m. Last year saw an improvement over 2004's figures - it produced record revenues and shipments - but the numbers revealed the start of a slowdown.

It's the classic set of circumstance: the world's mobile-phone markets are saturated, and sales are coming almost exclusively from replacement activity rather than new users. At the same time, prices are falling at a rate iSuppli describes as "precipitous".

iSuppli reckons the global average selling price (ASP) will fall 9.2 per cent this year from $142 last year to $129. Vendors are trying to boost demand in emerging markets with very cheap handsets. Elsewhere, the need to drive 3G adoption is forcing them to offer high-end phones at lower price points than they might once have commanded.

The good news is that by 2007 the ASP will have fallen to just $128, a fall of a single percentage point, and iSuppli is forecasting sub-one per cent drops in following years, largely driven by cheaper components. ®

SANS - Survey on application security programs

More from The Register

next story
Samsung Galaxy S5 fingerprint scanner hacked in just 4 DAYS
Sammy's newbie cooked slower than iPhone, also costs more to build
US mobile firms cave on kill switch, agree to install anti-theft code
Slow and kludgy rollout will protect corporate profits
Leaked pics show EMBIGGENED iPhone 6 screen
Fat-fingered fanbois rejoice over Chinternet snaps
Microsoft lobs pre-release Windows Phone 8.1 at devs who dare
App makers can load it before anyone else, but if they do they're stuck with it
Oh no, Joe: WinPhone users already griping over 8.1 mega-update
Hang on. Which bit of Developer Preview don't you understand?
Report: Apple seeking to raise iPhone 6 price by a HUNDRED BUCKS
'Well, that 5c experiment didn't go so well – let's try the other direction'
Feast your PUNY eyes on highest resolution phone display EVER
Too much pixel dust for your strained eyeballs to handle
Rounded corners? Pah! Amazon's '3D phone has eye-tracking tech'
Now THAT'S what we call a proper new feature
Hearthstone: Heroes of Warcraft – A jolly little war for lunchtime
Free-to-play WoW turn-based game when you have 20 minutes to kill
Zucker punched: Google gobbles Facebook-wooed Titan Aerospace
Up, up and away in my beautiful balloon flying broadband-bot
prev story

Whitepapers

Top three mobile application threats
Learn about three of the top mobile application security threats facing businesses today and recommendations on how to mitigate the risk.
Combat fraud and increase customer satisfaction
Based on their experience using HP ArcSight Enterprise Security Manager for IT security operations, Finansbank moved to HP ArcSight ESM for fraud management.
The benefits of software based PBX
Why you should break free from your proprietary PBX and how to leverage your existing server hardware.
Five 3D headsets to be won!
We were so impressed by the Durovis Dive headset we’ve asked the company to give some away to Reg readers.
SANS - Survey on application security programs
In this whitepaper learn about the state of application security programs and practices of 488 surveyed respondents, and discover how mature and effective these programs are.