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The smart choice: opportunity from uncertainty

The global take-up of DSL continues to grow, with experts forecasting the number of lines will exceed 60 million by the end of the year.

The prediction - from broadband researchers Point Topic - comes as the total number of DSL lines topped 53 million at the end of September - an increase of 73 per cent on the year before.

Combine the total number of cable and DSL lines and three in ten of all the world's Internet access lines are now over broadband, researchers reckon.

However, while ADSL growth is booming in Europe and Latin America, researchers point out that it is slowing in Japan, South Korea and North America.

Elsewhere, consultants Arthur D Little reckon that as high speed Net access penetration continues, the broadband market will see revenues increase from $30 billion today to a whopping $80 billion over the next five years.

And while much of current revenues are generated from access fees, Arthur D. Little predicts that content and service providers will get more of a look-in. For as the industry matures, so too will these providers will begin to see a greater share of revenues.

The prophets at Arthur D Little also reckon that the broadband winners will be those ISPs that operate their own networks.

Oh, and they reckon that DSL will have a "long term advantage" over cable networks. ®

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