Feeds

GSM to overtake CDMA in USA

Within two years

  • alert
  • submit to reddit

Secure remote control for conventional and virtual desktops

When Nokia repeated its prediction that the global GSM standard could grab half of the US cellphone market, we were skeptical. Thanks to adoption by Verizon and SprintPCS networks, CDMA phones grabbed a seemingly impregnable lead in the United States. But the latest prediction from ABI Research suggests that the GSM family of standards, which includes GPRS, could overtake CDMA in a couple of years.

ABI pegs this year's numbers as 73 million CDMA handsets , or a 44 per cent share, versus 58 million, or a 35 per cent share. The latter is a dramatic increase from 11 per cent last year, thanks to AT&T Wireless moving from TDMA to GSM/GPRS.

According to the analyst company, GSM will draw level next year, 45 to 44 per cent, and nudge ahead in 2005. The share of others, which includes Nextel's iDEN will fall to 8 per cent. For the rest of the period for which ABI has made forecasts, GSM and CDMA technologies duke it out with scarcely a per centage point of difference between them.

Overall ABI sees plenty of growth yet in the US market. It suggests subscriber numbers will grow from 165 million this year to 204 million in 2008. ®

Bootnote: Nokia has its own typically understated observation to make about the politics of cellular standards. In a brochure showcasing business applications for the Series 60 platform, dated June 2003, the very excellent Opera browser is illustrated. The choice of story is interesting: a CNET report about Congressman Issa advocating that Congress ensure that the Iraqis are free to use only the very best CDMA networks. ®

Related Stories

GSM heads for 50pc of US phones
Lawyers must be culled like rabbits - Nokia VP
Verizon launches MMS

5 things you didn’t know about cloud backup

More from The Register

next story
UK fuzz want PINCODES on ALL mobile phones
Met Police calls for mandatory passwords on all new mobes
Canadian ISP Shaw falls over with 'routing' sickness
How sure are you of cloud computing now?
Don't call it throttling: Ericsson 'priority' tech gives users their own slice of spectrum
Actually it's a nifty trick - at least you'll pay for what you get
Three floats Jolla in Hong Kong: Says Sailfish is '3rd option'
Network throws hat into ring with Linux-powered handsets
Fifteen zero days found in hacker router comp romp
Four routers rooted in SOHOpelessly Broken challenge
New Sprint CEO says he will lower axe on staff – but prices come first
'Very disruptive' new rates to be revealed next week
PwC says US biz lagging in Internet of Things
Grass is greener in Asia, say the sensors
Ofcom sees RISE OF THE MACHINE-to-machine cell comms
Study spots 9% growth in IoT m2m mobile data connections
O2 vs Vodafone: Mobe firms grab for GCHQ, gov.uk security badge
No, the spooks love US best, say rival firms
Ancient pager tech SMS: It works, it's fab, but wow, get a load of that incoming SPAM
Networks' main issue: they don't know how it works, says expert
prev story

Whitepapers

Endpoint data privacy in the cloud is easier than you think
Innovations in encryption and storage resolve issues of data privacy and key requirements for companies to look for in a solution.
Implementing global e-invoicing with guaranteed legal certainty
Explaining the role local tax compliance plays in successful supply chain management and e-business and how leading global brands are addressing this.
Top 8 considerations to enable and simplify mobility
In this whitepaper learn how to successfully add mobile capabilities simply and cost effectively.
Solving today's distributed Big Data backup challenges
Enable IT efficiency and allow a firm to access and reuse corporate information for competitive advantage, ultimately changing business outcomes.
Reg Reader Research: SaaS based Email and Office Productivity Tools
Read this Reg reader report which provides advice and guidance for SMBs towards the use of SaaS based email and Office productivity tools.