Feeds

GSM will continue to dominate handset sales

It's just got too far for CDMA to catch up

  • alert
  • submit to reddit

Intelligent flash storage arrays

Report Annual cellular phone handset sales will virtually double by 2003, but although it will show the highest growth rate, the CDMA digital standard isn't going to make breakthrough. According to a new report from Cahners In-Stat, of the 392 million units sold in 2003 (up from 207 million this year), 203 million will be GSM. The numbers provide a valuable reality check for those of you in danger of believing we'll all be using third generation broadband systems by 2003. Cahners is cagey, simply observing that this year: "As digital users begin to implement 2 1/2 generation data and Internet ready handsets, we will finally learn if data is the killer application that most believe it is." The Register wishes to point out that lots of otherwise rational people have been predicting the triumph of wireless data for years, so far erroneously. Cahners says CDMA will score an annual growth rate of 24.69 per cent, TDMA 22.46 per cent and GSM 22.66 per cent. CDMA's lead, however, is based on growth from the smallest base, so probably the best it can hope for is a reasonably strong position in its core US market. TDMA's continued growth, however, means that CDMA won't have it all its own way there, and TDMA is of course a relation of GSM's. GSM meanwhile looks set to trample across the rest of the world, and here it might be worth considering that Cahner's numbers might be overly conservative. Growth in the region of 20-25 per cent per annum is probably achievable for the territories which are already fairly heavily populated with mobile phone users, so major breakthroughs elsewhere surely ought to generate far higher growth overall. By the way, Cahners, we notice although you've press released the report you haven't got around to putting it up for sale on your Web site yet. We feel slack attitudes of this sort may undermine the value of your future e-commerce reports somewhat... ®

Secure remote control for conventional and virtual desktops

More from The Register

next story
MI6 oversight report on Lee Rigby murder: US web giants offer 'safe haven for TERRORISM'
PM urged to 'prioritise issue' after Facebook hindsight find
I'll be back (and forward): Hollywood's time travel tribulations
Quick, call the Time Cops to sort out this paradox!
Assange™ slumps back on Ecuador's sofa after detention appeal binned
Swedish court rules there's 'great risk' WikiLeaker will dodge prosecution
NSA mass spying reform KILLED by US Senators
Democrats needed just TWO more votes to keep alive bill reining in some surveillance
prev story

Whitepapers

Driving business with continuous operational intelligence
Introducing an innovative approach offered by ExtraHop for producing continuous operational intelligence.
The total economic impact of Druva inSync
Examining the ROI enterprises may realize by implementing inSync, as they look to improve backup and recovery of endpoint data in a cost-effective manner.
Forging a new future with identity relationship management
Learn about ForgeRock's next generation IRM platform and how it is designed to empower CEOS's and enterprises to engage with consumers.
High Performance for All
While HPC is not new, it has traditionally been seen as a specialist area – is it now geared up to meet more mainstream requirements?
Simplify SSL certificate management across the enterprise
Simple steps to take control of SSL across the enterprise, and recommendations for a management platform for full visibility and single-point of control for these Certificates.