Feeds

GSM will continue to dominate handset sales

It's just got too far for CDMA to catch up

  • alert
  • submit to reddit

Mobile application security vulnerability report

Report Annual cellular phone handset sales will virtually double by 2003, but although it will show the highest growth rate, the CDMA digital standard isn't going to make breakthrough. According to a new report from Cahners In-Stat, of the 392 million units sold in 2003 (up from 207 million this year), 203 million will be GSM. The numbers provide a valuable reality check for those of you in danger of believing we'll all be using third generation broadband systems by 2003. Cahners is cagey, simply observing that this year: "As digital users begin to implement 2 1/2 generation data and Internet ready handsets, we will finally learn if data is the killer application that most believe it is." The Register wishes to point out that lots of otherwise rational people have been predicting the triumph of wireless data for years, so far erroneously. Cahners says CDMA will score an annual growth rate of 24.69 per cent, TDMA 22.46 per cent and GSM 22.66 per cent. CDMA's lead, however, is based on growth from the smallest base, so probably the best it can hope for is a reasonably strong position in its core US market. TDMA's continued growth, however, means that CDMA won't have it all its own way there, and TDMA is of course a relation of GSM's. GSM meanwhile looks set to trample across the rest of the world, and here it might be worth considering that Cahner's numbers might be overly conservative. Growth in the region of 20-25 per cent per annum is probably achievable for the territories which are already fairly heavily populated with mobile phone users, so major breakthroughs elsewhere surely ought to generate far higher growth overall. By the way, Cahners, we notice although you've press released the report you haven't got around to putting it up for sale on your Web site yet. We feel slack attitudes of this sort may undermine the value of your future e-commerce reports somewhat... ®

The Power of One Brief: Top reasons to choose HP BladeSystem

More from The Register

next story
BBC goes offline in MASSIVE COCKUP: Stephen Fry partly muzzled
Auntie tight-lipped as major outage rolls on
iPad? More like iFAD: We reveal why Apple fell into IBM's arms
But never fear fanbois, you're still lapping up iPhones, Macs
Amazon Reveals One Weird Trick: A Loss On Almost $20bn In Sales
Investors really hate it: Share price plunge as growth SLOWS in key AWS division
Bose says today is F*** With Dre Day: Beats sued in patent battle
Music gear giant seeks some of that sweet, sweet Apple pie
There's NOTHING on TV in Europe – American video DOMINATES
Even France's mega subsidies don't stop US content onslaught
You! Pirate! Stop pirating, or we shall admonish you politely. Repeatedly, if necessary
And we shall go about telling people you smell. No, not really
Too many IT conferences to cover? MICROSOFT to the RESCUE!
Yet more word of cuts emerges from Redmond
Chips are down at Broadcom: Thousands of workers laid off
Cellphone baseband device biz shuttered
Twitch rich as Google flicks $1bn hitch switch, claims snitch
Gameplay streaming biz and search king refuse to deny fresh gobble rumors
prev story

Whitepapers

Designing a Defense for Mobile Applications
Learn about the various considerations for defending mobile applications - from the application architecture itself to the myriad testing technologies.
Implementing global e-invoicing with guaranteed legal certainty
Explaining the role local tax compliance plays in successful supply chain management and e-business and how leading global brands are addressing this.
Top 8 considerations to enable and simplify mobility
In this whitepaper learn how to successfully add mobile capabilities simply and cost effectively.
Seven Steps to Software Security
Seven practical steps you can begin to take today to secure your applications and prevent the damages a successful cyber-attack can cause.
Boost IT visibility and business value
How building a great service catalog relieves pressure points and demonstrates the value of IT service management.