Feeds

A billion cellular phones by 2005, says Nokia

And a glowing multimedia future - but what about jam today?

  • alert
  • submit to reddit

Bridging the IT gap between rising business demands and ageing tools

Nokia sees a rosy future for mobile phone growth, and has revised its estimates upwards, reckoning that there will now be a billion cellular subscribers world-wide by 2005. And significantly, it sees multimedia as a key factor in this growth. "We now estimate that there will be about one billion subscribers in the year 2005 and that a substantial portion of the phones sold that year will have multimedia capabilities", says president and CEO Jorma Ollila. The billion will quadruple current subscriber numbers, which Nokia says were around 250 million by the middle of this year. Growth in multimedia and data over wireless will require substantial changes in bandwidth, the reliability and capabilities of the service providers and user attitudes - take-up of data over cellular has so far been nowhere near the confident early predictions that were made for it. But Ollila remains optimistic: "The favorable development of a number of initiatives where Nokia has played an important role, such as Bluetooth, the WAP forum and the establishment of Symbian, has increased the visibility of the significant role that data will play in wireless in just a few years time." Broadband wireless multimedia will have to wait until the deployment and maturity of third generation systems, and although these will start going into service early next century, 2005 is seen as optimistic for the fulfilment of Nokia's multimedia dreams by many observers. In the interim Nokia is banking on the deployment of High-Speed Circuit Switched Data capabilities that will take GSM's data rate up from 9.6 kbit/s to 14.4 kbit/s, and also seems to be dreaming on the subject of multi-time slots which would allow speeds of 56 kbit/s. But the service providers don't like this much, and doubt they would have the capacity or the users the bucks to make multi-slot a credible fix for data over cellular. ®

Build a business case: developing custom apps

More from The Register

next story
BBC goes offline in MASSIVE COCKUP: Stephen Fry partly muzzled
Auntie tight-lipped as major outage rolls on
Nadella: Apps must run on ALL WINDOWS – PCs, slabs and mobes
Phone egg, meet desktop chicken - your mother
ITC: Seagate and LSI can infringe Realtek patents because Realtek isn't in the US
Land of the (get off scot) free, when it's a foreign owner
HP, Microsoft prove it again: Big Business doesn't create jobs
SMEs get lip service - what they need is dinner at the Club
Samsung threatens to cut ties with supplier over child labour allegations
Vows to uphold 'zero tolerance' policy on underage workers
Dude, you're getting a Dell – with BITCOIN: IT giant slurps cryptocash
1. Buy PC with Bitcoin. 2. Mine more coins. 3. Goto step 1
There's NOTHING on TV in Europe – American video DOMINATES
Even France's mega subsidies don't stop US content onslaught
You! Pirate! Stop pirating, or we shall admonish you politely. Repeatedly, if necessary
And we shall go about telling people you smell. No, not really
prev story

Whitepapers

Seven Steps to Software Security
Seven practical steps you can begin to take today to secure your applications and prevent the damages a successful cyber-attack can cause.
Consolidation: The Foundation for IT Business Transformation
In this whitepaper learn how effective consolidation of IT and business resources can enable multiple, meaningful business benefits.
Designing a Defense for Mobile Applications
Learn about the various considerations for defending mobile applications - from the application architecture itself to the myriad testing technologies.
Build a business case: developing custom apps
Learn how to maximize the value of custom applications by accelerating and simplifying their development.
Consolidation: the foundation for IT and business transformation
In this whitepaper learn how effective consolidation of IT and business resources can enable multiple, meaningful business benefits.