Feeds

A billion cellular phones by 2005, says Nokia

And a glowing multimedia future - but what about jam today?

  • alert
  • submit to reddit

Secure remote control for conventional and virtual desktops

Nokia sees a rosy future for mobile phone growth, and has revised its estimates upwards, reckoning that there will now be a billion cellular subscribers world-wide by 2005. And significantly, it sees multimedia as a key factor in this growth. "We now estimate that there will be about one billion subscribers in the year 2005 and that a substantial portion of the phones sold that year will have multimedia capabilities", says president and CEO Jorma Ollila. The billion will quadruple current subscriber numbers, which Nokia says were around 250 million by the middle of this year. Growth in multimedia and data over wireless will require substantial changes in bandwidth, the reliability and capabilities of the service providers and user attitudes - take-up of data over cellular has so far been nowhere near the confident early predictions that were made for it. But Ollila remains optimistic: "The favorable development of a number of initiatives where Nokia has played an important role, such as Bluetooth, the WAP forum and the establishment of Symbian, has increased the visibility of the significant role that data will play in wireless in just a few years time." Broadband wireless multimedia will have to wait until the deployment and maturity of third generation systems, and although these will start going into service early next century, 2005 is seen as optimistic for the fulfilment of Nokia's multimedia dreams by many observers. In the interim Nokia is banking on the deployment of High-Speed Circuit Switched Data capabilities that will take GSM's data rate up from 9.6 kbit/s to 14.4 kbit/s, and also seems to be dreaming on the subject of multi-time slots which would allow speeds of 56 kbit/s. But the service providers don't like this much, and doubt they would have the capacity or the users the bucks to make multi-slot a credible fix for data over cellular. ®

Secure remote control for conventional and virtual desktops

More from The Register

next story
Ex-US Navy fighter pilot MIT prof: Drones beat humans - I should know
'Missy' Cummings on UAVs, smartcars and dying from boredom
Facebook, Apple: LADIES! Why not FREEZE your EGGS? It's on the company!
No biological clockwatching when you work in Silicon Valley
The 'fun-nification' of computer education – good idea?
Compulsory code schools, luvvies love it, but what about Maths and Physics?
Doctor Who's Flatline: Cool monsters, yes, but utterly limp subplots
We know what the Doctor does, stop going on about it already
'Cowardly, venomous trolls' threatened with TWO-YEAR sentences for menacing posts
UK government: 'Taking a stand against a baying cyber-mob'
Happiness economics is bollocks. Oh, UK.gov just adopted it? Er ...
Opportunity doesn't knock; it costs us instead
Sysadmin with EBOLA? Gartner's issued advice to debug your biz
Start hoarding cleaning supplies, analyst firm says, and assume your team will scatter
prev story

Whitepapers

Forging a new future with identity relationship management
Learn about ForgeRock's next generation IRM platform and how it is designed to empower CEOS's and enterprises to engage with consumers.
Cloud and hybrid-cloud data protection for VMware
Learn how quick and easy it is to configure backups and perform restores for VMware environments.
Three 1TB solid state scorchers up for grabs
Big SSDs can be expensive but think big and think free because you could be the lucky winner of one of three 1TB Samsung SSD 840 EVO drives that we’re giving away worth over £300 apiece.
Reg Reader Research: SaaS based Email and Office Productivity Tools
Read this Reg reader report which provides advice and guidance for SMBs towards the use of SaaS based email and Office productivity tools.
Security for virtualized datacentres
Legacy security solutions are inefficient due to the architectural differences between physical and virtual environments.